"Climate Change debate" has become the "Evolution debate" of the Left; most especially the Far Left, and the Democratic Party has jumped on the bandwagon in full measure because it has proven so fruitful in bringing left-leaning voters to the polls.
The actual science, however, is not at all clear. Yes, CO2 is going up...some. Yes, the world is getting warmer...some. This week (year, decade, etc.)
I waited for years for the evaluation of old-growth forest as a carbon sink to be proven, as predicted by Global Warming activists (and they are all *activists*, not *scientists*). The result: old-growth forest is a net CO2 source.
So, it must be going in the oceans right? Another 5-year wait:
"97% of all scientists believe in Climate Change". Look that phrase up on the Internet and you'll find an interesting (and apparently ignored) little write-up on where that number came from (assuming the document is correct and valid, the result was clearly fraudulent, or at least a fraudulent abuse of the very "iffy" survey that was not presented to those specifically-selected scientists in a manner intended to elicite a studied answer).
Every time the IOCC makes an announcement they are "more certain than ever"...that the results point to a lower-than-expected curve in temperature increases, that is a lower curve than the last time they made an announcement. But it is Still Going Up! That's what's important!
When data finally became available from the satellite intended to track ocean depth increase and temperature changes it was found not to match any existing model. The climatologist response? Near screaming deprecations on the engineer responsible for pulling & checking the data for not (near as I could tell) correcting their models. Which (a) wasn't his job, and (b) shows clearly how at least *some* Climate Change proponents view and understand (if you can call it that) science.
Compare the behavior of Climate Change proponents with that of Cosmologists over the last 20 years:
Change the entire underpinnings of what we understand? (The universe is not only expanding, it is accelerating! : Neat! We'll have to change the text books!) (Neutrinos move faster than light!: Really? Neat! We'll have to change the text books! Nope, that's wrong. Darn. Good thing we haven't published, yet. Next? God I Love This Job!)
Suggest that Climate Change might not be supported by the science? (That person is *not* a Scientist! I can fix that. Let me change my model! You're wrong! You're an idiot! We're all gonna die!)
Which would you tend to (dare I say it?) believe?
Is the world getting warmer? Possibly. To quote Yoda: "Difficult to say". Will it continue to do so? I could quote Yoda again, about telling the future. I could also point out that these summers (and winters) lately are a lot more like the seasons of my youth. When we were worried about the next Ice Age (I know that's been debunked as "real science" at the time, but it was nonetheless present in the "popular" science of the time.
The world has been warmer (much) in the past than it is now, and has survived just fine. It does not appear about to collapse into a duplicate of Venus. Human impact on greenhouse gasses is a tremendous amount of CO2 (to pick a gas)...and a very small drop in the bucket on the scale that Mother Earth moves carbon around. Even CO2. One volcano eruption can produce more CO2 for the year than all of mankind. We really are a fairly insignicant scum on the face of the Earth. Of course, some other insignificant scum creates almost all the oxygen, so we can't totally discount scum. So let's do some Science and get some real numbers!
I heard a politician yesterday (Waxman or some such. He is retiring! Probably to go on tour with Gore, who's carbon footprint on Monday could cover mine for my lifetime ) say, on C-Span (another Believer channel, unfortunately) words to the effect: "If there was a 10% chance that Climate Change is real, could we afford to ignore it?" Only we don't have a number anywhere close to saying "gloable warming is 10% likely". What we have is an observation that the world is getting warmer (absolutely true) and the *supposition* (not yet determined by science) that this is somehow our fault, so we all need to panic about it. We also have this unreasoning panic about what it would mean to the world (New York, most likely) if Global Warming (excuse me: Climate Change) were real.
(Aside: Some people don't really believe that losing New York would be all that negative a thing.)
That supposition that it is all our fault leaves out several other possibilities, starting with the facts that the Sun has been acting strangely lately (compared with the available scientific record: Just like Climate Change) and the world's magnetic field has (I read recently) been declining at an ever increasing rate as it moves toward its anticipated and due reversal appointment. The Sun could burp and it would invalidate all our numbers. And us. Is this likely the cause of Climate Change? I dunno. But at least it is a question that can be investigated, not an assertion that requires I say the magic phrase (I Believe...) to be included in the conversation.
Is there any wonder so many people aren't willing to fall into line with this way of thinking? The frightening thing is that so many people are.